How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?

36 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016

See all articles by Elena Ianchovichina

Elena Ianchovichina

World Bank

Josef Ludger Loening

University of Goettingen (Gottingen) - Ibero-America-Institute for Economic Research

Christina A. Wood

World Bank - Economic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Date Written: March 1, 2012

Abstract

This paper presents new estimates of pass-through coefficients from international to domestic food prices by country in the Middle East and North Africa. The estimates indicate that, despite the use of food price subsidies and other government interventions, a rise in global food prices is transmitted to a significant degree into domestic food prices in many countries in the Middle East and North Africa, although cross-country variation is significant. In nearly all countries, domestic food prices are highly downwardly rigid. The finding of asymmetric price transmission suggests that not only international food price levels matter, but also food price volatility. High food pass-through tends to increase inflation pressures, where food consumption shares are high. Domestic factors, often linked to storage, logistics, and procurement, have also played a major role in explaining high food inflation in the majority of countries in the region.

Keywords: Food & Beverage Industry, Markets and Market Access, Emerging Markets, Currencies and Exchange Rates, Food Security

Suggested Citation

Ianchovichina, Elena and Loening, Josef Ludger and Wood, Christina A., How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks? (March 1, 2012). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6018. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2031389

Elena Ianchovichina (Contact Author)

World Bank ( email )

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202-458-8910 (Phone)
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Josef Ludger Loening

University of Goettingen (Gottingen) - Ibero-America-Institute for Economic Research ( email )

Oeconomicum II/99
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Goettingen, 37073
Germany
+49 (551) 39-8172 (Phone)
+49 (551) 39-8173 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.iai.wiwi.uni-goettingen.de

Christina A. Wood

World Bank - Economic Policy and Poverty Reduction ( email )

1818 H Street, NW
Washington, DC 20433
United States

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