Shallow vs. Deep Integration in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for the Region Up to 2030

MEDPRO Technical Paper No. 13

50 Pages Posted: 3 Apr 2012

See all articles by Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim

Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim

Cairo University; ERF; CASE

Nicolas Péridy

University of Nantes - Faculty of Business and Economics; University of Toulon-Var

Javier Lopez-Gonzalez

University of Sussex; OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate

Maximiliano Mendez Parra

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: March 30, 2012

Abstract

This research develops a quantitative analysis aimed at simulating the trade effects of various integration scenarios between the EU and its Mediterranean Partners (MPs). Results for shallow integration show that the completion of tariff removal is expected to produce limited gains, except in Algeria. However, further steps toward deep integration would lead to much more significant gains. In this regard, the elimination of non-tariff barriers is expected to increase EU exports to MPs up to 60%. In addition, MPs’ imports and exports to the EU could also considerably increase due to an improvement of logistics performance in these countries.

Keywords: EU, Mediterranean, integration, exports, Southern Mediterranean, logistics, deep integration, imports

Suggested Citation

Ghoneim, Ahmed Farouk and Peridy, Nicolas and Lopez Gonzalez, Javier and Mendez Parra, Maximiliano, Shallow vs. Deep Integration in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for the Region Up to 2030 (March 30, 2012). MEDPRO Technical Paper No. 13, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2033062 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2033062

Ahmed Farouk Ghoneim (Contact Author)

Cairo University ( email )

Orman
Giza, 12613
Egypt
002-010-5376376 (Phone)

ERF ( email )

21 Al-Sad Al-Aaly St.
(P.O. Box: 12311)
Dokki, Cairo
Egypt

CASE ( email )

Al. Jana Pawła II 61/212
Warsaw, 01-031
Poland

Nicolas Peridy

University of Nantes - Faculty of Business and Economics ( email )

France

University of Toulon-Var ( email )

Avenue de l'Université
La Garde
France

Javier Lopez Gonzalez

University of Sussex ( email )

Sussex House
Falmer
Brighton, Sussex BNI 9RH
United Kingdom

OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate

Development Division
2, rue André Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16
Paris
France

Maximiliano Mendez Parra

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

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