A Note on an Example from Savage

7 Pages Posted: 21 Apr 2012

Date Written: April 2012

Abstract

In his discussion of minimax decision rules, Savage (1954, p. 170)presents an example purporting to show the inadequacy of a minimaxnegative expected utility rule (referred to by Savage as 'negativeincome') as a decision criterion for statistics and suggests theapplication of a minimax regret rule instead. The crux of Savage'sobjection to minimax applied to negative income is the possibility thata decision maker would choose to ignore available information,regardless of how relevant the information may be. Notably, minimaxregret decision rules do not suffer from this flaw. However, in hisbook, Savage does not explicitly analyze his example. We give here adetailed examination of Savage's example in an effort to understand thefundamental differences between these two seemingly quite similardecision rules. References are given to other papers that have exploredthis issue, and we also briefly consider a third decision rule derivedfrom Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989).

Suggested Citation

Sadler, Evan, A Note on an Example from Savage (April 2012). NYU Working Paper No. ;SOR-2012-01. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2042996

Evan Sadler (Contact Author)

Independent

No Address Available

Here is the Coronavirus
related research on SSRN

Paper statistics

Downloads
23
Abstract Views
407
PlumX Metrics