Econometric Analysis of Internal Migration in Russia (Ekonometrijska Analiza Unutrasnjih Migracija U Rusiji)

Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 2011, No. 7(2), C. 21-33

14 Pages Posted: 26 Apr 2012

See all articles by Elena Vakulenko

Elena Vakulenko

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Nikita Mkrtchyan

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Kirill Furmanov

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Date Written: July 1, 2011

Abstract

Using panel data for the 2001-2008 period we estimate the gravity model of migration between Russian regions. We show that though the migration flows have been quite stable, their determinants have changed substantially. Our special attention is drawn to the role of distance between the regions. Our special attention is drawn to the role of distance between regions as one of the main factors of migration. Dividing pairs of regions into nine groups according to the distance between regional centers, we estimate the model for each group separately. We find out that social and economic factors are affecting migration mainly between nearby regions. Yet the intensity of flows between distant (>500 km) areas is almost uncorrelated with indicators of social and economic development of regions.

Korišćenjem tabelarnih podataka za period 2001.-2008.god., obavili smo procijenu gravitacionog modela migracija između regiona Rusije. Iako su tokovi migracija prilično stabilni, u ovom radu pokazujemo da je došlo do značajnih promjena njihovih determinanti. Posebnu pažnju smo posvetili ulozi udaljenosti između datih regiona kao jednog od glavnih faktora migracija. Podjelom parova regiona na devet grupa, na osnovu razdaljine između regionalnih centara, procijenili smo dati model za svaku grupu pojedinačno. Otkrili smo da socijalni i ekonomski faktori utiču na migracije uglavnom između susjednih regiona. Sa druge strane, intezitet tokova između udaljenih područja (>500 km) gotovo da nema veze sa indikatorima društvenog i ekonomskog razvoja regiona.

Keywords: migration, gravity model, panel data, Russian regions

JEL Classification: J61, C23

Suggested Citation

Vakulenko, Elena and Mkrtchyan, Nikita and Furmanov, Kirill, Econometric Analysis of Internal Migration in Russia (Ekonometrijska Analiza Unutrasnjih Migracija U Rusiji) (July 1, 2011). Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 2011, No. 7(2), C. 21-33. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2045345

Elena Vakulenko (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.hse.ru/org/persons/3053715

Nikita Mkrtchyan

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.hse.ru/org/persons/203471

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Kirill Furmanov

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.hse.ru/org/persons/503346

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