El Efecto De China En El Comercio Internacional De América Latina (China’s Effect on Latin America’s International Trade)
Estudios de Economía, Vol 38, Nº2, Diciembre 2011
28 Pages Posted: 9 May 2012
Date Written: December 1, 2011
Using a gravity model, this article presents an analysis of aggregate trade flows aimed at identifying China’s impact on Latin America’s trade. The results obtained indicate that: i) China´s growth in the last years implied a growing supply of exports to this market from most countries in the World, including that of Latin American countries; ii) at the aggregate level, there was no indication that Chinese exports to third markets were crowding out LAC exports to those countries; and iii) a positive relationship between imports from China and exports to third markets was only found for the Southern Cone countries.
Note: Downloadable document is in Spanish.
Keywords: Bilateral trade, Gravity model, Poisson regression, China, Latin America
JEL Classification: F10, F12, F15
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation