Long-Term Care Use and Supply in Europe: Projection Models and Results for Germany, the Netherlands, Spain and Poland

ENEPRI Research Report no. 116

137 Pages Posted: 15 May 2012

See all articles by Esther Mot

Esther Mot

CPB Netherlands Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis

Joanna Geerts

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Peter Willeme

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: April 19, 2012

Abstract

This report presents results of projections of use and supply of long-term care for older persons in four countries representative of different long-term care systems: Germany, the Netherlands, Spain and Poland. Using a standardised methodology, the projections show that between 2010 and 2060, the numbers of users of residential care, formal home care and informal care are projected to increase in all countries, but at different rates. The results also indicate that if current patterns of care use and supply prevail, supply of informal and formal care is likely to fall behind demand. Measures to increase LTC capacity will be needed in all countries; the key policy implications of these findings are discussed in Policy Brief No. 12 in this series.

Keywords: long-term care, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Poland, ageing, residential care, home care, informal care

Suggested Citation

Mot, Esther and Geerts, Joanna and Willeme, Peter, Long-Term Care Use and Supply in Europe: Projection Models and Results for Germany, the Netherlands, Spain and Poland (April 19, 2012). ENEPRI Research Report no. 116, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2060145

Esther Mot (Contact Author)

CPB Netherlands Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis ( email )

P.O. Box 80510
2508 GM The Hague, 2585 JR
Netherlands

Joanna Geerts

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Peter Willeme

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
234
Abstract Views
1,035
Rank
259,747
PlumX Metrics