Japan’S Fertility Transition: Empirical Evidence from the Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration

Posted: 2 Jun 2012

See all articles by Paresh Kumar Narayan

Paresh Kumar Narayan

Deakin University - School of Accounting, Economics and Finance

Xiujian Peng

Monash University

Date Written: February 21, 2006

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of the fertility rate in Japan over the 1950-2000 period. We use, for the first time in the fertility literature, the bounds testing approach to cointegration. Amongst our key results, we find that, in both the short-run and long-run, the use of contraceptives and abortion have significantly contributed to the fertility decline in Japan. We also find statistically significant evidence that increasing age at marriage in Japan and increasing education level of women have contributed negatively to the fertility transition.

Keywords: Japan, Fertility, Cointegration, Bounds testing

Suggested Citation

Narayan, Paresh Kumar and Peng, Xiujian, Japan’S Fertility Transition: Empirical Evidence from the Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration (February 21, 2006). Japan and the World Economy, Vol. 19, pp. 263-278, 2007, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2072316

Paresh Kumar Narayan (Contact Author)

Deakin University - School of Accounting, Economics and Finance ( email )

221 Burwood Highway
Burwood, Victoria 3215
Australia

Xiujian Peng

Monash University ( email )

23 Innovation Walk
Wellington Road
Clayton, Victoria 3800
Australia

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