Futures Studies and Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Principles, Methodology and Research Questions

46 Pages Posted: 28 Jun 2012 Last revised: 12 Jun 2014

See all articles by Rolf Kreibich

Rolf Kreibich

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Britta Oertel

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Michaela Wolk

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Date Written: October 25, 2011

Abstract

Futures studies are the scientific study of possible, desirable, and probable future developments and scope for design, as well as the conditions for these in the past and in the present. Modern futures studies assume that the future is not entirely determinable and that different future developments (‘futures’) are possible and there is scope for design. They are based on the realization that there are indeed a great number of possible futures but that these are not arbitrary. The term ‘Future-oriented Technology Analysis’ refers to potent changes and challenges for futures studies at the interface of technological change with increasingly science-based innovation, attention to societal issues and concerns.

Futures Studies and Future-oriented Technology analysis are concerned with complex dynamic systems and processes and engage multiple stakeholders in participatory and interdisciplinary processes to assure distributed understanding and sustainable development.

The article discusses principles and context of Futures studies and Futures analyses methodology. It puts forward five core research lines to outline Futures studies contribution to addressing issues in the research area of Internet & Society.

Keywords: future studies, foresight, future-oriented technology

Suggested Citation

Kreibich, Rolf and Oertel, Britta and Wolk, Michaela, Futures Studies and Future-Oriented Technology Analysis Principles, Methodology and Research Questions (October 25, 2011). HIIG Discussion Paper Series No. 2012-05. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2094215 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2094215

Rolf Kreibich (Contact Author)

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Schopenhauerstr. 26
D-14129 Berlin
Germany

Britta Oertel

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Schopenhauerstr. 26
D-14129 Berlin
Germany

Michaela Wolk

Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment

Schopenhauerstr. 26
D-14129 Berlin
Germany

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