Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia's Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate

13 Pages Posted: 14 Jul 2012

See all articles by Paul Block

Paul Block

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Kenneth Strzepek

University of Colorado at Boulder; Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)

Date Written: August 2012

Abstract

Ethiopia is powering ahead with an energy development strategy that is highly reliant on abundant hydropower potential. A changing climate may pose a challenge to meeting expected targets. Bridging the modeling gaps between climate, energy, and economics, and effectively transforming climate changes into economic measures, is an emerging interdisciplinary field as nations attempt to position themselves for an uncertain future. Such a framework is adopted here to assess energy production and adaptation costs for four climate change scenarios over 2010–2049. Scenarios that favor a drying trend countrywide may lead to losses of 130–200 terawatt‐hours over the 40‐year period, translating to adaptation costs of US$2–4 billion, compared with a no climate change scenario. Even given these potential losses, energy development utilizing hydropower appears economically reasonable from this deterministic, sector‐independent evaluation. This development is desperately needed, independent of future climate change trends, with the hope of appreciably reducing vulnerability to variability.

Suggested Citation

Block, Paul and Strzepek, Kenneth, Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia's Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate (August 2012). Review of Development Economics, Vol. 16, Issue 3, pp. 476-488, 2012. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2105890 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00675.x

Paul Block (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

Kenneth Strzepek

University of Colorado at Boulder ( email )

1070 Edinboro Drive
Boulder, CO 80309
United States

Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) ( email )

79 John F. Kennedy Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
1
Abstract Views
210
PlumX Metrics