Aggregate Party Identification in Germany: The Effects of Consumer Confidence and Government Approval
34 Pages Posted: 17 Jul 2012
Date Written: December 17, 2011
Partisanship has been the object of extensive scholarly attention. Because individual partisanship seemed relatively stable and insensitive to short term forces, aggregate partisanship was long thought to display no meaningful variation. This view was challenged by MacKuen et al. (1989), who found that aggregate partisanship in the United States is affected by consumer con fidence and presidential approval. This paper studies aggregate party identi fication in Germany, and how it has evolved in the past thirty years. Speci fically, we analyze the impact of consumer confi dence and government approval on party identi fication. We conclude that rises in consumer con fidence and government approval do indeed lead to increases in identi fication with the main governing parties.
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