Inflation and Output in New Keynesian Models with a Transient Interest Rate Peg

27 Pages Posted: 21 Jul 2012

See all articles by Charles T. Carlstrom

Charles T. Carlstrom

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Timothy S. Fuerst

University of Notre Dame

Matthias Paustian

Bank of England

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: July 20, 2012

Abstract

Recent monetary policy experience suggests a simple test for models of monetary non-neutrality. Suppose the central bank pegs the nominal interest rate below steady state for a reasonably short period of time. Familiar intuition suggests that this should be inflationary. We pursue this simple test in three variants of the familiar Dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) model. Some variants of the model produce counterintuitive inflation reversals where an interest rate peg leads to sharp deflations.

Keywords: Fixed interest rates, New Keynesian model, zero lower bound

JEL Classification: E32

Suggested Citation

Carlstrom, Charles T. and Fuerst, Timothy S. and Paustian, Matthias, Inflation and Output in New Keynesian Models with a Transient Interest Rate Peg (July 20, 2012). Bank of England Working Paper No. 459, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2114288 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2114288

Charles T. Carlstrom

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland ( email )

PO Box 6387
Cleveland, OH 44101-1387
United States
216-579-2294 (Phone)
216-579-3050 (Fax)

Timothy S. Fuerst

University of Notre Dame ( email )

Notre Dame, IN 46556
United States

Matthias Paustian (Contact Author)

Bank of England ( email )

Threadneedle Street
London, EC2R 8AH
United Kingdom

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