Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza–Related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare

16 Pages Posted: 9 Aug 2012

See all articles by Christine Wieck

Christine Wieck

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Simon W. Schlüter

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Wolfgang Britz

University of Bonn

Date Written: August 2012

Abstract

A Heckman‐type gravity model is used to estimate the trade impact of avian influenza–related quarantine ex post measures. An accompanying spatial partial equilibrium simulation model is developed to simulate related welfare changes. The simulation model considers spread and transmission risk according to the disease status of both importers and exporters. The econometric results show that the principle of regionalisation is preferred to import trade bans for uncooked meat. The simulation results verify the negative welfare impact of currently implemented quarantine policies and indicate that significant trade diversion effects occur according to the disease status of countries. A trade ban is a costly measure to address the infection risk resulting from the spread of the avian influenza virus.

Suggested Citation

Wieck, Christine and Schlüter, Simon W. and Britz, Wolfgang, Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza–Related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare (August 2012). The World Economy, Vol. 35, Issue 8, pp. 1037-1052, 2012, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2127005 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2012.01461.x

Christine Wieck (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Simon W. Schlüter

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

Wolfgang Britz

University of Bonn ( email )

Nussallee 21, Haus 1, Raum 14
Postfach 2220
53113 Bonn
Germany
++ 49 - 2 28 - 73 29 12 (Phone)
++ 49 - 2 28 - 73 46 93 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ilr.uni-bonn.de/em/staff/britz/britz_e.htm

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