Information Transmission Among World Major Gold Futures Markets: Evidence from High Frequency Synchronous Trading Data

Abstract

This study examines the international information transmission among three major gold futures markets namely COMEX, MCX, and TOCOM. Two well documented approaches, which are VECM and information share, are utilized to measure the process of price discovery under this trivariate system. The uniqueness of this study is that it employs synchronous intraday time series which can mitigate the stale price problem from daily observations. The evidences indicate that the three gold futures prices are cointegrated and driven by one common factor. New arrival information disseminates efficiently among the three markets and the pricing information transmission among exchanges is very rapid. However, the lead-lag relationship among markets still exists with the dominance of COMEX gold futures as the centre of price discovery.

Keywords: Gold futures, Information transmission, Price discovery, High frequency synchronous trading data, Informationally linked markets

JEL Classification: G15, C32