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Developing a Model to Predict Pedestrian Movement in Urban Spaces by Incorporating Space Syntax and EPR: Case Study Khazaneh Neighborhood in City of Tehran-Iran

14 Pages Posted: 19 Aug 2012  

Mostafa Abbaszadegan

Iran University of Science and Technology - Department of Urban Planning and Design, School of Architecture and Environmental Design

Hossein Babapoor

University of Science and Technology

Date Written: August 19, 2012

Abstract

Predicting intensity and various uses of urban open spaces is an important urban open space management issue. Also, it is an important challenge for urban planners and designers to pursue their goals in urban environment. In a research that examines the use of urban spaces in zone 16 of city of Tehran, the capital city of Iran a predictive model has been developed using Space Syntax method and Evolutionary Polynomial Regression. An encounter model has been used to survey the pedestrian movement in the city.

Several research experiments indicated that space syntax technique can develop models that can interpret and predict pedestrian movement in regard to urban morphology, regardless of this capability it has some shortcoming, that is not able to specify the effect of all dependent and independent variables and their combination as a factor on pedestrian movements. To overcome this shortcoming Evolutionary Polynomial Regression has been utilized.

Keywords: Space Syntax, and Evolutionary Polynomial Regression, pedestrian, urban space, Tehran

Suggested Citation

Abbaszadegan, Mostafa and Babapoor, Hossein, Developing a Model to Predict Pedestrian Movement in Urban Spaces by Incorporating Space Syntax and EPR: Case Study Khazaneh Neighborhood in City of Tehran-Iran (August 19, 2012). OIDA International Journal of Sustainable Development, Vol. 04, No. 11, pp. 21-34, 2012. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2132122

Mostafa Abbaszadegan (Contact Author)

Iran University of Science and Technology - Department of Urban Planning and Design, School of Architecture and Environmental Design ( email )

Tehran
Iran

Hossein Babapoor

University of Science and Technology ( email )

Narmak
Tehran, 1684613114
Iran

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