Research and Development Target‐Setting Difficulties Addressed Through the Emergent Method: Technology Forecasting Using Data Envelopment Analysis

15 Pages Posted: 28 Aug 2012

See all articles by Ann‐Marie Lamb

Ann‐Marie Lamb

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Timothy Paul Anderson

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Tugrul Daim

Portland State University

Date Written: September 2012

Abstract

The aim of this study is to provide a foundation for researchers and managers to discuss and resolve difficulties associated with research and development (R&D) target‐setting. While multiple studies mention the difficulty of R&D target‐setting, few have compiled reasons for these difficulties or addressed this issue in detail. This paper provides one of the first studies outlining reasons for R&D target‐setting difficulties through a literature review. It also provides an initial set of analyses and results after applying an emerging quantitative method, Technology Forecasting Using Data Envelopment Analysis (TFDEA), to illustrate these difficulties step‐by‐step to commercial airplanes. Results include determining the state of art in commercial airplane technology and technological rate‐of‐change variants in setting R&D targets.

Suggested Citation

Lamb, Ann‐Marie and Anderson, Timothy Paul and Daim, Tugrul, Research and Development Target‐Setting Difficulties Addressed Through the Emergent Method: Technology Forecasting Using Data Envelopment Analysis (September 2012). R&D Management, Vol. 42, Issue 4, pp. 327-341, 2012, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2137473 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9310.2012.00687.x

Ann‐Marie Lamb (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

Timothy Paul Anderson

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Tugrul Daim

Portland State University ( email )

PO Box 751
Portland, OR 97207
United States

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