Introducing Behavioral Change in Transportation into Energy/Economy/Environment Models

61 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016

See all articles by Andreas Schafer

Andreas Schafer

European University Institute - Economics Department (ECO)

Date Written: October 1, 2012

Abstract

Transportation is vital to economic and social development, but at the same time generates undesired consequences on local, regional, and global scales. One of the largest challenges is the mitigation of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, to which this sector already contributes one-quarter globally and one-third in the United States. Technology measures are the prerequisite for drastically mitigating energy use and all emission species, but they are not sufficient. The resulting need for complementing technology measures with behavioral change policies contrasts sharply with the analyses carried out by virtually all energy / economy / environment (E3) models, given their focus on pure technology-based solutions. This paper addresses the challenges for E3 models to simulate behavioral changes in transportation. A survey of 13 major models concludes that especially hybrid energy models would already be capable of simulating some behavioral change policies, most notably the imposition of the full marginal societal costs of transportation. Another survey of major macroscopic transportation models finds that key specifications required for simulating behavioral change have already been implemented and tested, albeit not necessarily on a global scale. When integrating these key features into E3 models, a wide range of technology and behavioral change policies could be analyzed.

Keywords: Transport Economics Policy & Planning, Environmental Economics & Policies, Climate Change Economics, Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases, Roads & Highways

Suggested Citation

Schafer, Andreas, Introducing Behavioral Change in Transportation into Energy/Economy/Environment Models (October 1, 2012). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6234, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2162802

Andreas Schafer (Contact Author)

European University Institute - Economics Department (ECO) ( email )

Villa San Paolo
Via della Piazzuola 43
50133 Florence
Italy

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