Advanced Biofuels: Future Perspectives from an Expert Elicitation Survey
21 Pages Posted: 17 Oct 2012 Last revised: 17 Jul 2014
Date Written: October 17, 2012
This paper illustrates the main results of an expert elicitation survey on advanced (second and third generation) biofuel technologies. The survey focuses on eliciting probabilistic information on the future costs of advanced biofuels and on the potential role of RD&D (Research, Development and Demonstration) efforts in reducing these costs and in supporting the deployment of biofuels in OECD and non-OECD countries. Fifteen leading experts from different EU member states provide insights on the future potential of advanced biofuel technologies both in terms of costs and diffusion. This information results in a number of policy recommendations with respect to public RD&D strategies and is an important contribution to the integrated assessment modelling community.
Keywords: Expert Elicitation, Research, Development and Demonstration, Biofuels
JEL Classification: Q42, Q55
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation