Advanced Biofuels: Future Perspectives from an Expert Elicitation Survey

21 Pages Posted: 17 Oct 2012 Last revised: 17 Jul 2014

See all articles by Giulia Fiorese

Giulia Fiorese

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei; Polytechnic University of Milan - Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione

Michela Catenacci

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Elena Verdolini

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

Valentina Bosetti

Bocconi University; CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

Date Written: October 17, 2012

Abstract

This paper illustrates the main results of an expert elicitation survey on advanced (second and third generation) biofuel technologies. The survey focuses on eliciting probabilistic information on the future costs of advanced biofuels and on the potential role of RD&D (Research, Development and Demonstration) efforts in reducing these costs and in supporting the deployment of biofuels in OECD and non-OECD countries. Fifteen leading experts from different EU member states provide insights on the future potential of advanced biofuel technologies both in terms of costs and diffusion. This information results in a number of policy recommendations with respect to public RD&D strategies and is an important contribution to the integrated assessment modelling community.

Keywords: Expert Elicitation, Research, Development and Demonstration, Biofuels

JEL Classification: Q42, Q55

Suggested Citation

Fiorese, Giulia and Catenacci, Michela and Verdolini, Elena and Bosetti, Valentina, Advanced Biofuels: Future Perspectives from an Expert Elicitation Survey (October 17, 2012). FEEM Working Paper No. 67.2012. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2162834 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2162834

Giulia Fiorese (Contact Author)

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Polytechnic University of Milan - Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione ( email )

Via Ponzio 34/5
Milano, 20133
Italy

Michela Catenacci

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Elena Verdolini

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Valentina Bosetti

Bocconi University

Via Gobbi 5
Milan, 20136
Italy

CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

via Augusto Imperatore, 16
Lecce, I-73100
Italy

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