Who Leaves and When? – Selective Outmigration of Immigrants from Germany

Kuhlenkasper, Torben; Steinhardt, Max Friedrich

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2166747

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Who Leaves and When? – Selective Outmigration of Immigrants from Germany

SOEPpaper No. 490

40 Pages Posted: 26 Oct 2012

See all articles by Torben Kuhlenkasper

Max Friedrich Steinhardt

Free University of Berlin (FUB) - Department of Business and Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics; Centro Studi Luca D'Agliano (LdA); Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI)

Date Written: September 2012

Abstract

The paper provides new evidence on the outmigration of foreign-born immigrants. We make use of data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and employ penalized spline smoothing in the context of a Poisson-type Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM), which enables us to incorporate bivariate interaction effects. A unique feature is the use of data from dropout studies to identify outmigration. For Turkish immigrants, outmigration is characterized by positive skill selection intensifying the initial negative selection process. For Non-Turkish immigrants we instead find a u-shaped pattern between human capital and outmigration. Finally, we discover substantial variation in emigration behavior during the life-cycle.

Keywords: emigration, self-selection, German socio-economic panel, generalized additive mixed models

JEL Classification: C14, C51, F22, J61

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Kuhlenkasper, Torben and Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, Who Leaves and When? – Selective Outmigration of Immigrants from Germany (September 2012). SOEPpaper No. 490, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2166747 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2166747