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Resistance to Truthful Revelation in Bargaining: Persistent Bid Shading and the Play of Dominated Strategies

55 Pages Posted: 28 Oct 2012 Last revised: 31 Aug 2013

James E. Parco

Colorado College

Ryan O. Murphy

University of Zurich - Department of Economics

Date Written: September 23, 2012

Abstract

We report results from a simultaneous bilateral bargaining experiment with attention to the effects of a settlement bonus on strategic decision-making behavior. In instances with a sufficiently large settlement bonus, truthful revelation emerges as the dominant strategy. However previous work (Parco and Rapoport, 2004) has experimentally tested this ― "Bonus Effect" and found that although the presence of a settlement bonus improves efficiency, behavior falls drastically short of the normative predictions. This finding illustrates the persistent tendency of decision makers to bid strategically, i.e. shading their bids, even when truthful revelation is a strictly dominant strategy. Herein we investigate the influence of the framing of information and look for ways to nudge decision makers toward making better choices in these strategic environments. Additional results from an adaptive reinforcement-based learning model are discussed as they relate to a potential innate bias for strategic misrepresentation even when contrary to self-interest and collective interest.

Keywords: Bilateral bargaining, information framing, truthful revelation, sealed bid mechanism, kdouble auction, linear equilibrium strategy

JEL Classification: C72, C78

Suggested Citation

Parco, James E. and Murphy, Ryan O., Resistance to Truthful Revelation in Bargaining: Persistent Bid Shading and the Play of Dominated Strategies (September 23, 2012). Journal of Economic Psychology, Vol. 39, 2013. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2166947 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2166947

Jim Parco (Contact Author)

Colorado College ( email )

Department of Economics and Business
14 E. Cache la Poudre St.
Colorado Springs, CO 80903
United States
719-389-6416 (Phone)
719-389-6927 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.coloradocollege.edu/dept/EC/parco.asp

Ryan O. Murphy

University of Zurich - Department of Economics ( email )

Zürich
Switzerland

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