Speculative Bubbles and the Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns
27 Pages Posted: 16 Nov 2012 Last revised: 3 Nov 2013
Date Written: November 2013
Evidence suggests that rational, periodically collapsing speculative bubbles may be pervasive in stock markets globally, but there is no research that considers them at the individual stock level. In this study we develop and test an empirical asset pricing model that allows for speculative bubbles to affect stock returns. We show that stocks incorporating larger bubbles yield higher returns. The bubble deviation, at the stock level as opposed to the industry or market level, is a priced source of risk that is separate from the standard market risk, size and value factors. We demonstrate that much of the common variation in stock returns that can be attributable to market risk is due to the co-movement of bubbles rather than being driven fundamentals.
Keywords: speculative bubbles, asset pricing, stock returns, CAPM, cross-sectional variation
JEL Classification: G11, G14, C21, C22
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation