An Impact Analysis from Institutional Intervention at Ports

DaSILVA, F. G. F.; MACAMBIRA, J. K. . A methodology to classify interventions in ports demand series changes applied to Brazilian ports. International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics, v. 13, p. 380, 2021.

Posted: 8 Dec 2012 Last revised: 27 Mar 2021

Date Written: March 27, 2021

Abstract

The institutional, commercial and economic structure in Brazil has changed. The Brazilian ports have followed changes by government intervention or exogenous interruption in operation or infrastructure, impacting in the dynamics of port demands. The economical series follow tendencies, interrupted by external or intended interventions and computed by empirical approaches measuring the breakpoint or magnitude of interruption in the series. Methodologically, to classify the intervention is an important deal to decision-makers, contributing to select and use dummy variables in the estimation procedure to better model demand and simulate consequences of some politics of increase infrastructure or protect the retro area of the port. This paper aims to apply the intervention impacts technique to classify then. We use the monthly time series of containers demand for Brazilian ports from 2005 to 2011. As result, we have mapped and showed which types of exogenous interruptions have a significant change in ports movement.

Keywords: intervention impacts technique, port demand, time series analysis

JEL Classification: C22, L91, L92

Suggested Citation

Da Silva, Francisco Gildemir Ferreira and Da Silva, Francisco Gildemir Ferreira and Macambira Filho, José Kleber, An Impact Analysis from Institutional Intervention at Ports (March 27, 2021). DaSILVA, F. G. F.; MACAMBIRA, J. K. . A methodology to classify interventions in ports demand series changes applied to Brazilian ports. International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics, v. 13, p. 380, 2021., Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2186428 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2186428

Francisco Gildemir Ferreira Da Silva (Contact Author)

Federal University of Ceara ( email )

Rua Marechal Deodoro, 400
Fortaleza, Ceara 600000000
Brazil

CAEN - UFC ( email )

Av. da Universidade, 2700
Fortaleza, 60020-181
Brazil

José Kleber Macambira Filho

Universitary Centre of Brasilia ( email )

SHIN QI 02, conjunto 02, casa 10
Brasilia, 71510-020
Brazil

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