Prospects for Energy Supply and Demand in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for 2010–30

MEDPRO Technical Paper No. 22

44 Pages Posted: 18 Dec 2012

See all articles by Panagiotis Fragkos

Panagiotis Fragkos

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Nikos Kouvaritakis

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Pantelis Capros

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) - School of Electrical and Computer Engineering

Date Written: December 13, 2012

Abstract

The aim of this technical report is to quantify alternative energy demand and supply scenarios for ten southern and eastern Mediterranean countries up to 2030.

The report presents the model-based results of four alternative scenarios that are broadly in line with the MEDPRO scenario specifications on regional integration and cooperation with the EU. The report analyses the main implications of the scenarios in the following areas: final energy demand by sector (industry, households, services, agriculture and transport), the evolution of the power generation mix, the development of renewable energy sources and electricity exports to the EU, primary energy production and the balance of trade for hydrocarbons, energy-related CO2 emissions; and power generation costs.

Keywords: energy supply, energy demand, southern Mediterranean, EU, renewable energy, power generation costs

Suggested Citation

Fragkos, Panagiotis and Kouvaritakis, Nikos and Capros, Pantelis, Prospects for Energy Supply and Demand in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for 2010–30 (December 13, 2012). MEDPRO Technical Paper No. 22, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2189369

Panagiotis Fragkos (Contact Author)

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Greece

Nikos Kouvaritakis

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

Greece

Pantelis Capros

National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) - School of Electrical and Computer Engineering ( email )

Athens
Greece

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