Rainfall Shocks and Property Crimes in Agrarian Societies: Evidence from India
18 Pages Posted: 30 Jan 2013
Date Written: January 29, 2013
We examine the effects of rainfall shocks on various the incidence of crime in India from the years 1971-2000. We find that the incidence of most crimes increases with negative rainfall shocks. Positive rainfall shocks, in contrast, lead to increases in property crimes, but have no effect on non-property crimes. These findings are consistent with economic models of crime emphasizing both opportunity costs and returns.
Keywords: Crime, Rainfall Shocks
JEL Classification: O10, O13
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation