Poverty Dynamics, Violent Conflict, and Convergence in Rwanda

25 Pages Posted: 5 Feb 2013

See all articles by Patricia Justino

Patricia Justino

University of Sussex - Institute of Development Studies

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 2013


This paper analyzes the poverty impact of the violent events that affected Rwanda in the 1990s. The main objective of the paper is to identify systematically potential mechanisms linking violent conflict with changes in poverty across provinces and households in Rwanda before and after a decade of violence. In accordance with emerging literature on the long‐term economic effects of violent conflict, we find empirical evidence for economic convergence between richer and poorer Rwandan provinces and households following the conflict shocks. Using a small but unique panel of households surveyed before and after the conflict period, we find that households whose house was destroyed or who lost land ran a higher risk of falling into poverty. We do not find much evidence for an economic effect of violent deaths at the household level due to substitution effects of labor within the household. Non‐violent deaths however seem to increase income per adult equivalent for the survivors. Results are shown to be robust to sample selection and IV models.

Keywords: conflict, convergence, growth, poverty dynamics, Rwanda

JEL Classification: I32, O12, O55

Suggested Citation

Justino, Patricia, Poverty Dynamics, Violent Conflict, and Convergence in Rwanda (March 2013). Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 59, Issue 1, pp. 66-90, 2013, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2212000 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.2012.00528.x

Patricia Justino (Contact Author)

University of Sussex - Institute of Development Studies ( email )

Falmer, Brighton, East Sussex BN1 9RE
United Kingdom

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