Economic Impact of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis on Developing Asia

35 Pages Posted: 24 Feb 2013

See all articles by Minsoo Lee

Minsoo Lee

Asian Development Bank

Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

Arnelyn Abdon

Asian Development Bank

Gemma Bolotaulo Estrada

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

Date Written: January 2013

Abstract

The European Union (EU) has traditionally been an important economic partner for Asia. In addition to absorbing a significant share of the region’s exports, the EU has been a major source of foreign direct investment and other capital flows into the region. In light of such close economic linkages between the EU and Asia, the euro crisis will undoubtedly influence Asia’s short-term macroeconomic outlook. The key question, however, is how big the impact will be. This paper tries to answer this by examining both the trade and financial channels of crisis transmission. The impact on developing Asia will fall primarily on trade but there are also significant effects on the region’s financial systems, especially its banking sector. However, overall, the magnitude of the shock from the euro crisis will be significantly smaller than the shock from the global crisis. A further cause for guarded optimism is that developing Asia still has relatively ample policy space to cushion a major external shock.

Suggested Citation

Lee, Minsoo and Park, Donghyun and Abdon, Arnelyn May and Estrada, Gemma Bolotaulo, Economic Impact of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis on Developing Asia (January 2013). Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. #336, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2221774 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2221774

Minsoo Lee (Contact Author)

Asian Development Bank ( email )

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Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Arnelyn May Abdon

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Gemma Bolotaulo Estrada

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

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