Become Who You Are: The Homing Pattern in Partisanship as a Self-Reinforcing Stochastic Process

18 Pages Posted: 2 May 2013 Last revised: 13 Jun 2013

See all articles by Thomas Metz

Thomas Metz

University of Freiburg

Jan Lorenz

Jacobs University Bremen

Date Written: 2012

Abstract

Partisanship is characterized by a “homing” pattern in which individuals pick a party and alternate between supporting and not supporting it. We present a stochastic model in which the probability to announce an attachment depends on an initial propensity to support the party and the number of times support has been announced before. The model reproduces the empirical distributions of the total number of utterances of party preferences in German panel data holding the longest and most dense measurement of Partisanship worldwide.

Suggested Citation

Metz, Thomas and Lorenz, Jan, Become Who You Are: The Homing Pattern in Partisanship as a Self-Reinforcing Stochastic Process (2012). EPSA 2013 Annual General Conference Paper 243. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2224740

Thomas Metz (Contact Author)

University of Freiburg ( email )

Fahnenbergplatz
Freiburg, D-79085
Germany

Jan Lorenz

Jacobs University Bremen ( email )

Campus Ring 1
Bremen, 28759
Germany

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