Friend or Foe? An Analysis of Ideological Disagreement, Leadership Selection and Competition at National Party Congresses

26 Pages Posted: 25 Oct 2013 Last revised: 24 Oct 2014

See all articles by Zachary Greene

Zachary Greene

University of Mannheim

Matthias Haber

University of Mannheim

Date Written: 2012

Abstract

Studies of party politics predict that intra-party divisions influence the selection of the party’s leadership and behavior in office. However, few methods are available to measure the preferences of intra-party actors external to the policy process. In this paper, we use party members’ speeches at their national meetings to identify their preferences. In particular, we construct a new database of party congress speeches from Germany and France and use automated text classification techniques to estimate speakers’ preferences. We use this data to test hypotheses linking the relative location of actors’ preferences and the distribution of preferences at party meetings to experience in government and intra-party election outcomes. The results from our analysis indicate support for our hypotheses and suggest that speeches at party meetings provide valuable insights into intra-party politics that we can link to behaviors and outcomes in national parliaments.

Keywords: Party Congresses, Intra-Party Preferences, Leadership Selection, WORDFISH

Suggested Citation

Greene, Zachary and Haber, Matthias, Friend or Foe? An Analysis of Ideological Disagreement, Leadership Selection and Competition at National Party Congresses (2012). Greene, Zachary, and Matthias Haber. 2014. “Leadership Competition and Disagreement at Party National Congresses.” British Journal of Political Science FirstView: 1–22., Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2224955

Zachary Greene (Contact Author)

University of Mannheim ( email )

Universitaetsbibliothek Mannheim
Zeitschriftenabteilung
Mannheim, 68131
Germany

Matthias Haber

University of Mannheim ( email )

Universitaetsbibliothek Mannheim
Zeitschriftenabteilung
Mannheim, 68131
Germany

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