Crossing in Soccer has a Strong Negative Impact on Scoring: Evidence from the English Premier League the German Bundesliga and the World Cup 2014
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management Gemeinnützige GmbH; Charles University in Prague - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
September 30, 2014
We present statistical evidence that games with a smaller number of open crosses tend to lead to more goals. When we estimate the impact of open crossing on scoring of the individual teams using the multilevel Poisson regression model, we conclude that the net effect of crossing is negative for all the teams in all studied competitions. The quality of the attacking team is the major explanatory factor on the number of missed scoring opportunities due to open crossing while the actual conversion of open crosses to goals plays only a minor role.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 24
Keywords: Crossing, Soccer, Poisson regression, Multilevel modeling, Sport statistics
JEL Classification: C52
Date posted: February 28, 2013 ; Last revised: March 2, 2016