Assessing Notice & Handling of 256 System Effects: Who Gets Promoted? Who is Lucky? Who Finds Side-Effects that are Better than Main Ones?
11 Pages Posted: 4 Apr 2013
Date Written: April 2, 2013
150 people who rose to the top of 63 fields in 41 nations by virtue of noticing and/or handling more system effects or noticing/handling them better than others were given questionnaires about exactly what system effects they noticed and handled. That produced 256 system effect types in a well ordered model of 64 sets of 4, ordered as 16 sets of 16. An instrument for assessing how many of the 256 system effects were noticed/handled how definitely by people was administered to 200 executives of a global firm in Tokyo, with just under 2/3s of all executives in the same success order as their system effects covered ordering. Executives who noticed/handled more system effects had more overall success (measured 5 ways). More executives departed from that ordering in the top third of success scores than in middle and lower thirds (being higher in success order than their system effects-covered order would indicate), hinting at special factors added to a general capability captured well by number of system effects types covered.
Keywords: system effects, non-linear system dynamics, second order effects, delayed and other scale effects, promotion in rank, luck, “in line for” top roles, predicting success
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