The Cyclicality of Job-to-Job Transitions and Its Implications for Aggregate Productivity

53 Pages Posted: 6 Apr 2013

See all articles by Toshihiko Mukoyama

Toshihiko Mukoyama

Georgetown University - Department of Economics; CIREQ

Date Written: February 25, 2013

Abstract

A key feature of the 2007 financial crisis is that for some classes of securities trade has practically ceased. And where trade has occurred, it appears that market prices are well below their intrinsic values. This seems especially true for those securities where the payoff streams are particularly complex, for example, structured finance ABS CDOs. One explanation for this is that information about these securities' intrinsic values since the crisis has been asymmetric, with current holders having better information than potential buyers. We first characterize the information asymmetries that were present in the structured finance ABS CDO market. Because many of the CDO dealers had partially or fully integrated the pipeline from mortgage originations through CDO issuance, they had informational advantages over potential buyers that could well have disrupted trading in CDOs as the crisis took hold in August of 2007. Using a "workhorse" model for pricing securities under asymmetric information and a novel dataset for the intrinsic values of ABS CDOs, we show how the resulting adverse selection problem could explain why the bulk of these securities either trade at significant discounts to their intrinsic values or do not trade at all.

Keywords: CDO, securitization, asymmetric, lemons

JEL Classification: C63, D82, D43

Suggested Citation

Mukoyama, Toshihiko, The Cyclicality of Job-to-Job Transitions and Its Implications for Aggregate Productivity (February 25, 2013). FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1074, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2244488 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2244488

Toshihiko Mukoyama (Contact Author)

Georgetown University - Department of Economics ( email )

Washington, DC 20057
United States

CIREQ

C.P. 6128, Succursale Centre-ville
Montreal, Quebec H3C 3J7
Canada

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