Download This PaperA Simultaneous Equations Analysis of Analysts' Forecast Bias and Institutional Ownership
EFMA 2001 Lugano Meetings; FR Bank of Atlanta Working Paper No. 2000-5
37 Pages Posted: 28 Jun 2000
Date Written: February 2001
Abstract
In this paper we use a simultaneous equations model to examine the relationship between analysts' forecasting decisions and institutions' investment decisions. Neglecting their interaction results in model misspecification. We find that analysts' optimism concerning a firm's earnings responds positively to changes in the number of institutions holding the firm's stock. At the same time, institutional demand responds positively to increases in analysts' optimism. We also investigate several firm characteristics as determinants of analysts' and institutions' decisions. We conclude that agency-driven behavioral considerations are significant.
JEL Classification: G10, G29, D23, D82
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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