Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective
36 Pages Posted: 13 Apr 2013
Date Written: April 2013
We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side measure and lead to substantially-revised views regarding the properties of GDP.
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