Correcting Some Historical Oversights and Lacunas in the History of Decision Science Regarding the Contributions of George Boole (1854), John Maynard Keynes (1908, 1921), and Theodore Hailperin (1986) Made by the Proponents of the 'Modern' Multiple Priors/Choquet Expected Utility Approaches to Non Additive Probability

12 Pages Posted: 12 May 2013

See all articles by Michael Emmett Brady

Michael Emmett Brady

California State University, Dominguez Hills

Date Written: May 11, 2013

Abstract

This paper examines the historical oversights contained in one of P Wakker’s articles on Uncertainty that is contained in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics (2008).The same error is incorporated in all of his other articles and books written on this topic, so it is representative of his understanding of the current history of decision making.

The conclusion reached in this reexamination of the historical record is that Wakker, like all other economists and decision theorists, is totally and completely unaware of the major decision theory innovations made by George Boole,J M Keynes, and Theodore Hailperin in the 19th and 20th Centuries.

It is also demonstrated that Adam Smith was a proponent of interval estimates who recognized the very limited applicability of the calculus of probabilities

Keywords: Boole, Keynes, Smith, Hailperin, decision theory, non-additive, non-linear

JEL Classification: B23, B30, B41, E12

Suggested Citation

Brady, Michael Emmett, Correcting Some Historical Oversights and Lacunas in the History of Decision Science Regarding the Contributions of George Boole (1854), John Maynard Keynes (1908, 1921), and Theodore Hailperin (1986) Made by the Proponents of the 'Modern' Multiple Priors/Choquet Expected Utility Approaches to Non Additive Probability (May 11, 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2263802 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2263802

Michael Emmett Brady (Contact Author)

California State University, Dominguez Hills ( email )

1000 E. Victoria Street, Carson, CA
Carson, CA 90747
United States

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