The Tiger and the Dragon - Development Models and Perspectives of India and China

Journal of Globalization Studies. Vol. 4, Num. 1, May 2013, pp. 5–31

27 Pages Posted: 18 May 2013

See all articles by Leonid Grinin

Leonid Grinin

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting; Volgograd Center for Social Research

Date Written: March 17, 2013

Abstract

In the coming decades in the process of globalization the position of the USA and Europe will weaken, while the role of developing countries will increase. The role of the two largest emerging economies – China and India – will be of special significance. What future will these fast-growing giants face?

The demographers agree that pretty soon India will lead the world in population and thus surpass China, while China will encounter serious ageing population problems. But economic and political scenarios of the future are quite different: from resounding success and world leadership to collapse caused by demographic and socio-political troubles. Which of them is more feasible?

In the present article I analyze the Chinese and Indian development models separately and comparatively and make a forecast of their perspectives in the 21st century. Such an analysis could be helpful for understanding Russia's ways of development.

Keywords: China, India, globalization, the Third World, East Asian model, Chinese model, Indian model, emerging economies, struggle against poverty, authoritarianism, democracy, centre, periphery

Suggested Citation

Grinin, Leonid, The Tiger and the Dragon - Development Models and Perspectives of India and China (March 17, 2013). Journal of Globalization Studies. Vol. 4, Num. 1, May 2013, pp. 5–31. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2266268

Leonid Grinin (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting ( email )

Rozhdestvenka 12
Moscow, 107031
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.sociostudies.org/ecbsf/

Volgograd Center for Social Research ( email )

Russia, 400079, Volgograd, Kirova street, 143
Volgograd, 400079
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.socionauki.ru/authors/grinin_l/

Here is the Coronavirus
related research on SSRN

Paper statistics

Downloads
61
Abstract Views
377
rank
377,561
PlumX Metrics