Download This PaperPolitical Instability and Economic Growth
49 Pages Posted: 14 Sep 2000 Last revised: 12 Sep 2022
Date Written: September 1992
Abstract
This paper investigates the relationship between political instability and per capita GDP growth in a sample of 113 countries for the period 1950-1982. We define ?political instability? as the propensity of a government collapse, and we estimate a model in which political instability and economic growth are jointly determined. The main result of this paper is that in countries and time periods with a high propensity of government collapse, growth is significantly lower than otherwise. This effect remains strong when we restrict our definition of ?government change? to cases of substantial changes of the government.
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Nouriel Roubini
New York University - Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics ( email )
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