The Canada-U.S. Auto Pact of 1965: an Experiment in Selective Trade Liberalization

55 Pages Posted: 5 Jul 2004

See all articles by Melvyn Fuss

Melvyn Fuss

University of Toronto - Department of Economics

Leonard Waverman

London Business School

Date Written: June 1986

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the Canada-U.S. Auto Pact, a selectivetrade liberalization agreement which created a duty-free North Americanmarket for the major U.S. multinational automobile producers, butcontinued to protect them from offshore producers. The new internationaltrade/I.O. literature predicts that, given the probable unexploitedeconomics of scale and specialization in the tariff-protected smallCanadian economy prior to 1965, rationalization leading to largeefficiency gains in Canadian production vis a vis U.S. production wouldoccur in a free trade environment. We estimate that the Auto Pact didnot induce a substantial improvement in Canadian relative productionefficiency. The missing ingredient seems to have been thecompetition-increasing effects of free trade in an oligopolistic settingthat is emphasized by the new trade/I.O. literature. The Auto Pact didnot increase the number of rivals in the oligopolistic Canadian industrysince the major players in the industry had production facilities on bothsides of the Canada-U.S. border before 1965, and no significant new entryinto Canada occurred.In the 1962-64 period, Canadian automotive production was 27% lessefficient than U.S. production. By 1970-72 this deficiency had beenreduced to 19%, but was not further reduced by the end of the 1970's. Ofthe 8 percentage points reduction in the Canadian disadvantage, weattribute only 3 percentage points to the rationalization process inducedspecifically by the Auto Pact.

Suggested Citation

Fuss, Melvyn A and Waverman, Leonard, The Canada-U.S. Auto Pact of 1965: an Experiment in Selective Trade Liberalization (June 1986). NBER Working Paper No. w1953. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=227077

Melvyn A Fuss (Contact Author)

University of Toronto - Department of Economics ( email )

150 St. George Street
Toronto, Ontario M5S 3G7
Canada
416-978-1494 (Phone)
416-946-3275 (Fax)

Leonard Waverman

London Business School ( email )

Sussex Place
Regent's Park
London, London NW1 4SA
United Kingdom

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