The Effects of Inflation and Money Supply Announcements on Interest Rates
23 Pages Posted: 8 Jul 2004 Last revised: 5 Aug 2022
Date Written: April 1984
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of the money supply and inflation rate announcements on interest rates. Survey data on expectations of the money supply and consumer and producer price indexes are used to distinguish anticipated and unanticipated components of the announcements. This distinction is used to test for the efficiency of the financial market response to the announcements of new information. The results indicate that the unanticipated components of the announced changes in the Producers Price Index and in the money supply have an immediate positive effect on short term interest rates.The Consumer Price Index announcement has no apparent effect. There is no evidence of a delayed announcement effect. However, there is some indication of liquidity effect of the money supply change on interest rates. This takes place when reserves are changing and several weeks prior to the information announcement.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?
Recommended Papers
-
Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange
By Clara Vega, Torben G. Andersen, ...
-
Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange
By Torben G. Andersen, Clara Vega, ...
-
By Torben G. Andersen and Tim Bollerslev
-
Tests of Microstructural Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market
-
Price Formation and Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information