Visualizing Probabilistic Proof
Washington University Jurisprudence Review, vol. 7, no. 1, Forthcoming
37 Pages Posted: 30 May 2013 Last revised: 23 Oct 2014
Date Written: October 22, 2014
The author revisits the Blue Bus Case, a famous thought-experiment in law involving probabilistic proof, and presents simple Bayesian solutions to different versions of the blue bus problem. In addition, the author expresses his solutions in standard and visual formats, i.e. in terms of probabilities and natural frequencies.
Keywords: Bayes’ Rule, Blue Bus Case, Probabilistic Proof
JEL Classification: C11, K41
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation