Tests of Microstructural Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market

34 Pages Posted: 29 Jun 2000 Last revised: 21 Sep 2022

See all articles by Richard K. Lyons

Richard K. Lyons

University of California, Berkeley; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: September 1993

Abstract

This paper introduces a three-part transactions dataset to test various microstructural hypotheses about the spot foreign exchange market. In particular, we test for effects of trading volume on quoted prices through the two channels stressed in the literature: the information channel and the inventory-control channel. We find that trades have both a strong information effect and a strong inventory-control effect, providing support for both strands of microstructure theory. The bulk of equity-market studies also find an information effect; however, these studies typically interpret this as evidence of inside information. Since there are no insiders in the foreign exchange market, this finding suggests a broader conception of the information environment, at least in this context.

Suggested Citation

Lyons, Richard K., Tests of Microstructural Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market (September 1993). NBER Working Paper No. w4471, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=227314

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