58 Pages Posted: 8 Jun 2013 Last revised: 19 Jun 2015
Date Written: June 18, 2015
We employ a regression discontinuity design to identify the real effects of share repurchases on other firm outcomes. The probability of share repurchases that increase earnings per share (EPS) is sharply higher for firms that would have just missed the EPS forecast in the absence of the repurchase, when compared with firms that “just beat” the EPS forecast. We use this discontinuity to show that EPS-motivated repurchases are associated with reductions in employment and investment, and a decrease in cash holdings. Our evidence suggests that managers are willing to trade off investments and employment for stock repurchases that allow them to meet analyst EPS forecasts.
Keywords: Share repurchases, employment, investment, regression discontinuity
JEL Classification: G35, G32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Almeida, Heitor and Fos, Vyacheslav and Kronlund, Mathias, The Real Effects of Share Repurchases (June 18, 2015). Forthcoming, Journal of Financial Economics (JFE). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2276156 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2276156