100 Pages Posted: 18 May 2000
Date Written: September 1993
We examine the relationship between income growth and saving using both cross-country and household data. At the aggregate level, we find that growth Granger causes saving, but that saving does not Granger cause growth. Using household data, we find that households with predictably higher income growth save more than households with predictably low growth. We argue that standard Permanent Income models of consumption cannot explain these findings, but that a model of consumption with habit formation may. The positive effect of growth on saving implies that previous estimates of the effect of saving on growth may be overstated.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Carroll, Christopher D. and Weil, David N., Saving and Growth: A Reinterpretation (September 1993). NBER Working Paper No. w4470. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=227972
By Robert Barro