Determinants of Land Use Changes: A Spatial Multinomial Probit Approach

Posted: 28 Jun 2013

See all articles by Raja Chakir

Raja Chakir

French National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA) - UMR Economie Publique

Olivier Parent

University of Cincinnati - Department of Economics

Date Written: 2009

Abstract

We propose a spatial multinomial probit model to examine the determinants of land use change, at the parcel level, in the French D├ępartement du Rhones from 1992 to 2003. It is based on an economic model that assumes that landowners have a choice between four land use categories for a given parcel at a given date: (1) agricultural, (2) forest, (3) urban, and (4) no use. We estimate a model that allows for both covariates and spatial dependence, and we use these features to explore the relative importance of factors that drive landowners to choose a specific land use category.

Keywords: Land use, multinomial probit, spatial correlation, Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo

JEL Classification: C11, C31, C35, R14

Suggested Citation

Chakir, Raja and Parent, Olivier, Determinants of Land Use Changes: A Spatial Multinomial Probit Approach (2009). Papers in Regional Science, Vol. 88, No. 2, 2009, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2285716

Raja Chakir (Contact Author)

French National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA) - UMR Economie Publique ( email )

Centre de Grignon
BP01
Thiverval-Grignon, 78850
France

Olivier Parent

University of Cincinnati - Department of Economics ( email )

Carl H. Lindner Hall 2925 Campus Green Drive
PO Box 0371
Cincinnati, OH 45221-0211
United States

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