Framing Emerging Nanotechnologies: Steps Towards a Forward-Looking Analysis of Skills

51 Pages Posted: 24 Jul 2013

See all articles by Konstantin S. Fursov

Konstantin S. Fursov

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Ian Miles

University of Manchester - Division of Operations, Technology and Innovation Management; National Research University Higher School of Economics

Date Written: July 23, 2013

Abstract

How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the question, such as diffusion and industry life-cycle analysis, and ideas about different sorts of technological change (including technical paradigms, regimes, and trajectories of change), which are very relevant to emerging technologies like nanotechnology. There are many claims and much argument about the scope and speed of the evolution of nanotechnology. It poses particular challenges to conventional forecasting approaches precisely because it is difficult to resolve such debates in the infancy of a technology, and in this case knowledge is fragmented because of the intersection of numerous lines of development at the nano-scale. Current skill and employment projections for nanoindustries are problematic, so it is important to consider new ways to improve understanding and provide more policy-relevant intelligence.

Keywords: emerging technologies, nanotechnology, statistics, foresight, skills

JEL Classification: C18, C46, C53, Z13

Suggested Citation

Fursov, Konstantin S. and Miles, Ian, Framing Emerging Nanotechnologies: Steps Towards a Forward-Looking Analysis of Skills (July 23, 2013). Higher School of Economics Research Paper No. WP BRP 15/STI/2013, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2297422 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2297422

Konstantin S. Fursov (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

Ian Miles

University of Manchester - Division of Operations, Technology and Innovation Management ( email )

Booth Street West
Manchester, M15 6PB
United Kingdom

National Research University Higher School of Economics

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

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