Infrequent Rebalancing, Return Autocorrelation, and Seasonality

Abstract

A model of infrequent rebalancing can explain specific predictability patterns in the time-series and cross-section of stock returns. First, infrequent rebalancing produces return autocorrelations that are consistent with empirical evidence from intraday returns and new evidence from daily returns. Autocorrelations can switch sign and become positive at the rebalancing horizon. Second, the cross-sectional variance in expected returns is larger when more traders rebalance. This effect generates seasonality in the cross-section of stock returns, which can help explain available empirical evidence.

Keywords: infrequent rebalancing, return autocorrelation, return seasonality, dynamic equilibrium

JEL Classification: G12, D53