Savings Gluts and Asset Price Booms in Emerging Economies

37 Pages Posted: 22 Aug 2013 Last revised: 3 Apr 2018

Felix Zhiyu Feng

University of Notre Dame

Date Written: March 2018

Abstract

This paper shows that capital outflows from emerging economies after financial integration can lead to simultaneous increases in the savings rate and in domestic asset prices. Under autarky, firms in emerging economies invest in risky capital while facing a borrowing constraint that creates a need for precautionary savings. Financial integration provides firms with access to foreign risk-free assets and results in two effects: a substitution effect, whereby firms divert some investments to foreign assets and cause capital outflows; and a wealth effect, whereby they grow richer in equilibrium and thus demand more domestic capital. Savings gluts and asset price booms occur when the wealth effect dominates. The increases in savings and asset prices are inefficiently high relative to the socially optimal level and can be amplified by heterogeneity in productivity among domestic firms.

Keywords: Financial Integration, Asset Pricing, Limited Enforcement

JEL Classification: F36, G15, D62

Suggested Citation

Feng, Felix Zhiyu, Savings Gluts and Asset Price Booms in Emerging Economies (March 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2310893 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2310893

Zhiyu Feng (Contact Author)

University of Notre Dame ( email )

3079 Jenkins-Nanovic
Notre Dame, IN 46556
United States
(574)631-0428 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://felixzhiyufeng.weebly.com/

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