Uncovering Country Risk in Emerging Market Bond Prices

37 Pages Posted: 3 Aug 2000

Date Written: July 1999

Abstract

We investigate the role of "country risk" in determining the default risk of firms in emerging markets. In particular, we study the relationship between the secondary market spreads (over hard-currency government bond yields) of bonds issued by emerging market firms and bonds issued by their home governments over the past 3 1/2 years. Our results indicate that market participants do not strictly apply the "sovereign ceiling," under which no firm is more creditworthy than its government. We do find that the spreads of emerging market corporate and government bonds over hard-currency government bonds are highly correlated. The correlation is higher for some industries than for others, and we find no evidence that banks face greater country risk.

Keywords: Credit Rating, Sovereign Ceiling, Default Risk, Emerging Market, Corporate Bond

JEL Classification: F30, F34, G15

Suggested Citation

Durbin, Erik and Ng, David T., Uncovering Country Risk in Emerging Market Bond Prices (July 1999). International Finance Working Paper No. 639. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=231843 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.231843

David T. Ng

Cornell University ( email )

Ithaca, NY 14853
United States

No contact information is available for Erik Durbin

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
1,213
rank
15,820
Abstract Views
6,132
PlumX Metrics