Marijuana and Youth

91 Pages Posted: 12 Jun 2000 Last revised: 19 Jan 2018

See all articles by Rosalie Liccardo Pacula

Rosalie Liccardo Pacula

Health Economics, Finance and Organization, RAND Corporation; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Michael Grossman

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), NY Office; CUNY The Graduate Center - Department of Economics

Frank J. Chaloupka

University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Patrick M. O'Malley

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Institute for Social Research (ISR)

Lloyd D. Johnston

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Institute for Social Research (ISR)

Matthew C. Farrelly

RTI International

Date Written: May 2000

Abstract

This paper contains the first estimates of the price sensitivity of the prevalence of youth marijuana use. Survey data on marijuana use by high school seniors from the Monitoring the Future Project are combined with data on marijuana prices and potency from the Drug Enforcement Administration Office of Intelligence or Intelligence Division. Our estimates of the price elasticity of annual marijuana participation range from 0.06 to 0.47, while those for thirty day participation range from 0.002 to 0.69. These estimates clearly imply that changes in the real, quality adjusted price of marijuana contributed significantly to the trends in youth marijuana use between 1982 and 1998, particularly during the contraction in use from 1982 to 1992. Similarly, changes in youth perceptions of the harms associated with regular marijuana use had a substantial impact on both the contraction in use during the 1982 though 1992 period and the subsequent expansion in use after 1992. These findings underscore the usefulness of considering price in addition to more traditional determinants in any analysis of marijuana consumption decisions made by youths.

Suggested Citation

Pacula, Rosalie Liccardo and Grossman, Michael and Chaloupka, Frank J. and O'Malley, Patrick M. and Johnston, Lloyd D. and Farrelly, Matthew C., Marijuana and Youth (May 2000). NBER Working Paper No. w7703. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=232087

Rosalie Liccardo Pacula (Contact Author)

Health Economics, Finance and Organization, RAND Corporation ( email )

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Michael Grossman

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Frank J. Chaloupka

University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Economics ( email )

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Patrick M. O'Malley

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Institute for Social Research (ISR) ( email )

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Lloyd D. Johnston

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Institute for Social Research (ISR)

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Matthew C. Farrelly

RTI International ( email )

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