Hedging Pressure and Speculation in Commodity Markets
41 Pages Posted: 10 Sep 2013 Last revised: 30 Apr 2018
Date Written: January 26, 2018
We propose a micro-founded equilibrium model to examine the interactions between the physical and the derivative markets of a commodity. This model provides a unifying framework for the hedging pressure and storage theories. The model shows a variety of behaviors at equilibrium that can be used to analyze price relations for any commodity. Further, through a comparative statics analysis, we precisely identify the losers and winners in the financialization of the commodity markets. Therefore, this paper clarifies the political economy of regulatory issues, like speculators' influence on prices.
Keywords: Equilibrium model; commodity; speculation; regulation; futures markets
JEL Classification: D4, G13, Q02
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation