The Millennium Survey: How Economists View the U.S. Economy in the 21st Century

Posted: 23 Oct 2000

Abstract

This essay presents the results of a survey of AEA members on how they expect the U.S. economy to evolve in the next 50 years. More specifically, respondents were asked about changes in a variety of macroeconomic variables and whether such changes would lead to major changes in the economic system or important economic institutions. For the next quarter century, for instance, the respondents foresee the greatest deviation from current trends occurring with regard to growth of per capita GDP, volatility of the financial system, and globalization. They also predict that changes in the economic system will most likely come about from the impact of increasing globalization, increasing inequality of income, and increasing financial instability.

JEL Classification: A11, A14

Suggested Citation

Pryor, Frederic L., The Millennium Survey: How Economists View the U.S. Economy in the 21st Century. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=232365

Frederic L. Pryor (Contact Author)

Swarthmore College ( email )

500 College Ave
Swarthmore, PA 19081
United States

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