Population Distribution Over Time: How Spatial Distance Matters
33 Pages Posted: 15 Oct 2013 Last revised: 18 Mar 2014
Date Written: March 18, 2014
This study aims at assessing the evolution of the importance of spatial distance in citizens' location choices across time. We focus on the case of population distribution in Massachusetts. We handle a database including data for the years 1880-1890 and 1930-2010. By adopting a Bayesian strategy, we are able to state that Boston reinforced its attractiveness up to the 1960s, but since then Boston's attractiveness has no longer represented the unique determinant of population distribution. Referring to selected historical evidence, we put forward a few possible interpretations to endorse our results.
Keywords: Bayesian inference, Distance, Ethnic composition, Population distribution, Random frailties
JEL Classification: C11, N92, R19
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation